Skip to content

Lesson 9 of 13 · about 3 minutes

Return on spend and payback

Gross profit back per euro, and how long it takes.

In one line

Return on spend here is gross profit earned per €1 spent. Below €1 the spend loses money; above €1 it pays back. Payback is how long it takes to cross €1.

What it does

  1. Use gross profit, not sales: €3 of sales at a 50% margin is €1.50 of profit, before the cost of the spend.
  2. Short-term return counts only the quarter it runs. Long-term return adds what carries over: memory, habit, distribution.
  3. Levers pay back at different speeds. Activation returns quickly and stops; brand media starts low and keeps adding.

Business and brand

Impact on the businessP&L, cash, share price

  • Spend under €1 back per €1 destroys value unless more comes later.
  • Payback timing matters for cash and for quarterly targets.
  • Boards compare return on spend with other uses of the money, like capacity or debt.

Impact on the brandMemory, loyalty, pricing power

  • Brand investment usually looks worst in-quarter and best over years.
  • Cutting a slow-payback lever saves cash now and costs share later.
  • Return on brand spend includes pricing power, which sales-only measures miss.

Try it

Watch payback build

The same extra money goes into brand media, activation or a deal for one quarter. Stretch the horizon and see each lever's gross profit back per €1.

4 quarters
Each lever gets about €1.1m extra in Q1
Brand media€1.06paid back
Activation€0.99not yet
Deal€0.58not yet
€0.0€0.5€1.0€1.5135791112Break-evenBrand mediaActivationDeal

Quarters since the spend →

Notice: After 4 quarters: brand media €1.06, activation €0.99, deal €0.58 per €1. brand media has paid back. Brand media starts lowest and keeps adding; activation stops; the deal falls back after the dip.

Runs Countermove's market engine: the reference soft-drinks market, three brands, rivals holding their plans so only your change moves the result.

Sources

  • Binet & Field (2013), The Long and the Short of It, IPA
  • Farris, Bendle, Pfeifer & Reibstein (2010), Marketing Metrics, Wharton School Publishing: return on marketing investment
  • Sethuraman, Tellis & Briesch (2011), Journal of Marketing Research

Check itThree questions, instant answers

Question 1 of 3A lever returns €0.80 of gross profit per €1 spent. It:
Question 2 of 3Brand media returns €0.70 per €1 in the quarter and €1.10 over two years. Which is right?
Question 3 of 3Why measure return in gross profit rather than sales?